ChargeGPT: A Multimodal LLM for Urban EV Charging Forecasting with Meteorological and Geographic Integration
面向多源时序数据的语言模型适配:以 STL 分解、可解释的 CA-MoE 和 LoRA,连接异质信息融合与少样本泛化。
Abstract · 原文
The rapid proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs) necessitates accurate charging load forecasting to support urban energy infrastructure planning and grid stability. However, existing approaches inadequately capture the complex interplay between charging demand and heterogeneous contextual factors, particularly dynamic meteorological conditions and spatial heterogeneity across stations, limiting their predictive accuracy and robustness under evolving urban environments. To address these challenges, we propose ChargeGPT, a multimodal large language model framework that systematically integrates charging loads, meteorological variables, and station-level geographic attributes for spatiotemporal forecasting. The framework employs STL-based temporal decomposition to disentangle multi-scale patterns, a meteorology-aware Cross-Attention Mixture-of-Experts (CA-MoE) module to adaptively fuse weather factors via interpretable attention mechanisms, and a GPT-based backbone with LoRA fine-tuning for contextual reasoning over unified multimodal tokens. Experiments on real-world data from Shenzhen demonstrate that ChargeGPT reduces forecasting error by 7% compared to the best baseline under full-sample conditions and maintains superior accuracy with limited historical observations, validating its generalization capability for newly constructed stations. The interpretable CA-MoE module further reveals dynamic weather impacts across spatiotemporal contexts, providing actionable insights for proactive capacity allocation and dynamic pricing strategies, thereby advancing sustainable urban mobility systems.